COVID cases and news for Nova Scotia on Tuesday, Nov 2

Information including charts, new infections and our daily map of community COVID-19.

NOTE: This day is now over. Click for the latest on COVID-19 from The Coast. Or for an informative look back at Nova Scotia's evolving pandemic response, keep on reading.



Vaccination collapse

The province is reporting seriously weak vaccination numbers today, for shots administered at clinics across Nova Scotia yesterday. Between people getting their first, second and third doses, the total delivered Monday was just 1,294 jabs. That is the lowest total reported in a long time. A very long time.

The last day the province had a lower number was the 1,186 shots given Sunday, March 14. That was 234 days and two COVID waves ago, back when Nova Scotia had the lowest vax rate of any province or territory in Canada—a mere 3.3 percent of the population having at least one dose.

Out of the 1,294 shots yesterday, only 643 of them went to people getting their second dose. That is the fewest second shots in a day since June 8, almost five months ago, when there were 496 shots.

Currently 78.64 percent of the province is fully vaxxed, the needle barely moving, so to speak, from 78.58 percent yesterday.


Cases in schools and kids

Five schools "were notified of an exposure(s)" yesterday, says the province's Tuesday C19 report, offering a link to the Nova Scotia database of school exposures for more information. In case you've clicked enough links today, the five schools are Boularderie Elementary (in Boulardie, Cape Breton), Jubilee Elementary (Sydney Mines, CB), Fairview Heights Elementary and Fairview Junior High (unsurprisingly located in the Halifax community of Fairview), and Kingswood Elementary (the Hammonds Plains are of Halifax).

Both Cape Breton schools are in the Sydney/Glace Bay community health network, which had four new cases today, the most of any network in Nova Scotia (see below). Kingswood Elementary is in the Bedford/Sackville network, home of today's second-highest case count at three. But as a useful inoculation against jumping to conclusions in the absence of information from the province, we should point out that the Fairview schools are in the Halifax network, which is having a rare day without cases.

Coast analysis of provincial data finds that five of today's 11 new infections—nearly half—are in children 11 years old and younger. This is the only age group currently ineligible for vaccination according to Health Canada rules, and a key demographic for attending elementary school. None of the Tuesday infections are in the 12-19 age group.


The standard Tuesday drop

Tuesday, November 2, 2021

Reopening status
Phase 5-ish

New cases
11

New recoveries
16

New deaths
0

Active cases
161

Total cases in Nova Scotia during pandemic
7,424

Total COVID deaths
101

In recent weeks, the province's Tuesday COVID report has featured significantly fewer new cases than the Monday report, and today is no different. After yesterday's report of 59 new cases for Friday, Saturday and Sunday—or basically 20 new cases per day—today there are just 11 new infections.

A low new-case number is always welcome, but lately the Tuesday drop has lead to different things, which makes it hard to get excited about 11 new infections right now. Through September and early October, the tendency was for Tuesday's low number to be followed by a similar or lower number on Wednesday, as if Tuesday is the sign of good things to come. But later in October, COVID often rebounded after a low Tuesday, coming back with higher infection numbers by the end of the week; here Tuesday felt more like an anomaly, maybe the result of Nova Scotians getting weekend-lazy about getting their symptoms tested.

Time will tell, as they say. Until tomorrow's report arrives, we'll just keep hoping for another low number.

In other case news, with the province reporting 16 people recovering from the disease, the caseload falls from 166 active cases yesterday to 161 today. And two COVID patients got out of hospital since yesterday, leaving the province with just eight people in hospital due to COVID—none of them sick enough to be in intensive care.


Mapping the infections

The province's written COVID report for today gives the locations for the 11 new cases as such: "There are five cases in Central Zone, four cases in Eastern Zone and two cases in Northern Zone." This simplified approach obscures information about what's happening in the community health networks, which divide the province into 14 small-ish regions instead of just four big zones.

The province does disclose some statistics about the community networks at its COVID data dashboard, although it's buried several clicks deep and lacks context. That's where The Coast comes in, doing daily analysis of the dashboard for you in order to produce the very accessible, very popular map and table of C19 activity in the community networks.

Today is notable because the Halifax network doesn't have any new infections, the first time that's happened since August. Sydney/Glace Bay is the network with the most infections today, four new cases, followed by Bedford/Sackville (three cases) and Amherst/Cumberland with two.


Map of cases in community health networks

This infographic was created by The Coast using daily case data from Nova Scotia's official COVID-19 dashboard. Our goal is for this to be the best NS COVID map around, clearer and more informative than the province or any other media organization provides. To get there we do an analysis of the data to find each day's new and resolved case numbers in the 14 community health networks, information the province does not provide. For a different but still highly accessible approach to the latest COVID statistics, check out our case table. Note: On July 23, 2021, Nova Scotia announced that it will no longer update case numbers on weekends.

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Case table of the health networks

The Coast uses data logged from Nova Scotia's official COVID-19 dashboard in order to provide this tabulated breakdown. The province reports the number of active cases in each of Nova Scotia's 14 community health networks, but we do the math to be able to report the new and resolved case numbers. We also map the data to provide a different view of the case information. Note: Effective July 23, 2021, the province no longer updates case numbers on weekends.

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New and active cases visualized

Nova Scotia's third wave of COVID grew in April, 2021, peaked in May (227 new cases in one day was the maximum) and subsided in June. On July 17, the province reached five active cases—its lowest level in more than eight months—and an election was called. So when it came time to reset The Coast's chart comparing daily new cases with that day’s active caseload, in order to better reflect disease levels after the third wave, we started from July 17. Two months later, on September 14, the province formally announced the arrival of the fourth wave of COVID. The dark line tracks the rise and fall of new infections reported by the province; the green area is the province's caseload. Click or hover over any point on the graph and the detail for that moment will pop up. To focus on just new or active cases, click the legend at the top left of the graph to hide or reveal that data set. Note: As of July 23, 2021, the province stopped updating case numbers on weekends. And you can click here for the version of this graph that includes the third wave and its May 10 crest of 1,655 active cases.

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Vaccination in the population

How many Nova Scotians already have one dose of vaccine? How many are fully vaccinated with two doses? And how close are we to the herd immunity goal of 75 percent of the province fully vaxxed? These questions are answered in our chart of the vaccination rate in Nova Scotia since the province started reporting these numbers in January 2021, breaking out people who've had a single dose separate from those who've had the full complement of two doses. (Here's more information about the 75 percent target and what it will take to get there.) Note: The province doesn't update vaccination numbers on weekends.

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Canadian cases in 2021

There was a point in July 2021, when the delta variant was causing an increase in COVID infections around the world, that Canada seemed safe from the fourth wave. By August, however, that point had passed, and case numbers around the country started to rise again. This graph charts the number of new infections every day in each province and territory, using the 7-day moving average to mitigate single-day anomalies (including a lack of weekend reporting in several jurisdictions including British Columbia and Nova Scotia). To focus on individual places, click the place names at the top of the chart to turn that data on or off.

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Breakthrough infections in Nova Scotia

On Fridays, the province's daily COVID report includes statistics about COVID breakthroughs—infections, hospitalizations and deaths among people who are fully or partially vaccinated. The province reports its numbers as a cumulative total: all the breakthrough cases dating from March 15, 2021 to the latest update. The Coast does an analysis to break the information about new cases down by each weekly reporting period, in order to offer our readers the following unique view of the same information, so you can better understand the fluctuations in breakthrough infections as they happen. Note: Our bar chart only dates back to June because the province didn't start this reporting until summer 2021.

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Click here for yesterday's COVID-19 news roundup, for November 1, 2021.

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