COVID cases and news for Nova Scotia on Saturday, Jun 12

Updates including briefings, infections and our daily map of community COVID-19.

NOTE: This day is now over. Click for the latest on COVID-19 from The Coast. Or for an informative look back at Nova Scotia's evolving pandemic response, keep on reading.

3 missing cases

Just one month ago, a typical Nova Scotia pandemic day featured 110 new cases, 150 recoveries and more than 1,500 active cases. It was a lot to keep track of, for the province and the public. Now things are moving at a much slower pace, and small discrepancies in the numbers are easier to notice.

Friday—yesterday—the province reported eight new cases and 11 recoveries. When more people recover from COVID than catch the disease, the number of active cases goes down, and sure enough the active caseload dropped from Thursday to Friday. (The caseload also drops when a patient with COVID dies, which unfortunately happened yesterday.) Friday the province reported a caseload of 143 active cases.

Today the province is reporting 10 new cases and five recoveries (see our full report on today's numbers below). This is the opposite situation from yesterday: With more people getting COVID than getting over it, the active caseload goes up. The difference between 10 new cases and five recoveries is a total of five new cases. Today's active caseload should be the 143 active cases from yesterday plus the five new cases from today, for 148 active cases.

But it's not.

Today the province is reporting only 145 active cases. Why did the caseload go up by just two? What happened to those three cases between the 148 we should expect and the 145 the province is reporting?

We've asked the province. We're expecting a pat answer like "numbers may change as data is updated in the Panorama public health tracking system." We'll let you know what we find out.

10 new cases push the active caseload up

Saturday, June 12, 2021

Reopening status
Phase 1

New cases

New recoveries

New deaths

Active cases

Days in a row with cases

Total cases in Nova Scotia during pandemic

Total COVID deaths

Nova Scotia is reporting 10 new infections today, an increase from the eight COVID cases yesterday and a return to double-digit infections after a one-day reprieve. Meanwhile only five people recovered from the disease since yesterday, a recent low.

Ten new cases and five recoveries means the active caseload increases by five cases to 145 active cases. This is the first day-to-day rise in active cases since May 16, four weeks ago.

The 10 new cases are spread across the Central health authority zone (which has five of the 10 cases), Eastern zone (four) and Western (one). All of the cases are related to either travel or close contacts of other cases, says the province's Saturday COVID report, except one in Eastern that is under investigation by the public health department as potential community spread. For the sixth day in a row, Northern zone has no new cases.

Hospitalizations haven't changed since yesterday's report: 10 patients are currently in hospital, six of them in ICU. Vaccination numbers are not reported on weeekends for some reason.

In testing, Nova Scotia's lab processed 5,399 PCR tests for COVID yesterday, well above the current average of about 4,000 tests per day. Ten positive cases out of 5,399 tests is a positivity rate of .19 percent, a slight increase from yesterday's .16 percent, but only about half the running 7-day average of .37 percent positive tests. It's a good sign when lots of tests are being done, and the positivity rate is staying low.

“We are moving in the right direction to keep this virus at bay,” top doc Robert Strang says via the province's report. “The way out of this virus is by working together. I encourage everyone to continue following the public health measures, getting tested regularly and getting two doses of vaccine.”

Map of cases in community health networks

This infographic was created by The Coast using daily case data from Nova Scotia's official COVID-19 dashboard. Our goal is for this to be the best NS COVID map around, clearer and more informative than the province or any other media organization provides. To get there we do an analysis of the data to find each day's new and resolved case numbers in the 14 community health networks, information the province does not provide. For a different but still highly accessible approach to the latest COVID statistics, check out our case table.

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Case table of the health networks

The Coast uses data logged from Nova Scotia's official COVID-19 dashboard in order to provide this tabulated breakdown. The province reports the number of active cases in each of Nova Scotia's 14 community health networks, but we do the math to be able to report the new and resolved case numbers. We also map the data to provide a different view of the case information.

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New and active cases visualized

This interactive graph charts COVID activity in Nova Scotia's third wave, comparing daily new cases with that day’s active caseload. The dark line tracks the rise and fall of new infections reported by the province, which hit a Nova Scotian pandemic record high of 227 cases in a single day on May 7. The green area is the province's caseload, which peaked May 10 at 1,655 active cases. Click or however over any point on the graph and the detail for that moment will pop up. To focus on just new or active cases, you can click the legend at the top left of the graph to hide or reveal that data set.

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Recoveries and infections graphed

A person who tests positive for COVID-19 counts as a new case, the beginning of a problem for both the province and that person. The best ending to the problem is the patient recovers from the disease. This interactive chart compares how many problems started (the red area of new cases) to how many ended (the blue area's recoveries) each day in Nova Scotia's third wave, revealing growth trends along the way. Click or hover over any point on the graph and the detail for that day will pop up, to reveal exactly how quickly things change: May 7 had Nova Scotia's most-ever infections diagnosed in one day, 227 new cases, more than triple the 71 recoveries that day. Two weeks later, May 21, had a record recoveries, 197 in a day, more than double the 84 new cases. To focus on just new cases or recoveries, you can click the legend at the top left of the graph to hide or reveal that data set.

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Average and daily new cases

Knowing the average number of new cases Nova Scotia has every day—the orange area in this graph—is useful to show the trend of infections without one day's ups or downs distorting the picture. Having the daily new cases as well, the dark line on the graph, gives a sense of how each day compares to the average. We use the rolling (AKA moving or running) 7-day average of daily data reported by the province; here's a good explainer of what a rolling average is.

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Click here for yesterday's COVID-19 news roundup, for June 11, 2021.

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