COVID cases and news for Nova Scotia on Monday, Jul 5

Updates including briefings, infections and our daily map of community COVID-19.

NOTE: This day is now over. Click for the latest on COVID-19 from The Coast. Or for an informative look back at Nova Scotia's evolving pandemic response, keep on reading.



NS vaccination update

The weekend break for vaccination reporting is over, and in the new statistics the province released for Friday, Saturday and Sunday, the recent trend continues: a lot of people are getting their second doses, but first-dose uptake is dwindling. Clinics across Nova Scotia stuck more than 32,000 jabs into arms on the weekend, an average of almost 11,000 people per day. Of those, more than 10,000 per day were second doses.

From Thursday to Sunday, the percentage of the population that's gotten both doses increased by more than three percentage points, to 29.2 percent of Nova Scotia's entire population. It's amazing progress when you consider that at the start of Nova Scotia's vaccine rollout, it took three months—from January 19 to April 20—for the two-dose population to grow by three percent. (Here's a copy of The Coast's vaccination rate graph so you don't have to scroll to the bottom of this page to check the numbers yourself.)

Unfortunately the second-dose progress is accompanied by the slowdown in people getting their first dose of vaccine. That's shown on the vax rate graph in the "Total 1 AND 2 doses" line tracking the percentage of the population with at least one dose. All those people getting their second dose didn't move the line up towards the 75 percent herd immunity target, because they were already counted as having at least one dose when they got their first shot. Instead, so few people got their first vaccine dose on the weekend that the total line barely moved, going from 72.92 percent on Thursday to 73.11 percent Sunday. Or, to use round numbers, it stayed stuck at 73.

The optimistic take on the first-dose numbers is that they ARE going up, however slowly, and we're close enough to the 75 percent vaccine uptake rate that we should eventually hit the target before the number of people getting their first dose dwindles all the way to zero. “It’s very natural that this last 20-to-25 percent slows down,” top public health doc Robert Strang warned us in The Coast's story about the vax ceiling, “but that's why we're going to keep pushing out.”


Just 1 new infection

Monday, July 5, 2021

Reopening status
Phase 3

New cases
1

New recoveries
9

New deaths
0

Active cases
45

Days in a row with cases
12

Total cases in Nova Scotia during pandemic
5,854

Total COVID deaths
92

Nova Scotia is reporting one new infection on Monday. "The case is in Central Zone and is related to travel," the province's daily COVID-19 report says, and our map and table tracking COVID say it's in the Halifax community health network.

This is the first day with a measly lone new case since last Tuesday—during the five days between then and now there have been 21 new cases—and in an especially welcome change from Saturday and Sunday the active caseload went down today thanks to nine people recovering from their C19 infections.

The hospitalization situation hasn't changed from the weekend, however, with two people in hospital due to COVID, but nobody in intensive care.

Today's provincial report says local labs completed 2,293 PCR tests yesterday, which is both the lowest daily total since June 7 (2,057 tests) and far below the current daily average (3,006 tests).


Map of cases in community health networks

This infographic was created by The Coast using daily case data from Nova Scotia's official COVID-19 dashboard. Our goal is for this to be the best NS COVID map around, clearer and more informative than the province or any other media organization provides. To get there we do an analysis of the data to find each day's new and resolved case numbers in the 14 community health networks, information the province does not provide. For a different but still highly accessible approach to the latest COVID statistics, check out our case table.

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Case table of the health networks

The Coast uses data logged from Nova Scotia's official COVID-19 dashboard in order to provide this tabulated breakdown. The province reports the number of active cases in each of Nova Scotia's 14 community health networks, but we do the math to be able to report the new and resolved case numbers. We also map the data to provide a different view of the case information.

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New and active cases visualized

This interactive graph charts COVID activity in Nova Scotia's third wave, comparing daily new cases with that day’s active caseload. The dark line tracks the rise and fall of new infections reported by the province, which hit a Nova Scotian pandemic record high of 227 cases in a single day on May 7. The green area is the province's caseload, which peaked May 10 at 1,655 active cases. Click or however over any point on the graph and the detail for that moment will pop up. To focus on just new or active cases, you can click the legend at the top left of the graph to hide or reveal that data set.

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Recoveries and infections graphed

A person who tests positive for COVID-19 counts as a new case, the beginning of a problem for both the province and that person. The best ending to the problem is the patient recovers from the disease. This interactive chart compares how many problems started (the red area of new cases) to how many ended (the blue area's recoveries) each day in Nova Scotia's third wave, revealing growth trends along the way. Click or hover over any point on the graph and the detail for that day will pop up, to reveal exactly how quickly things change: May 7 had Nova Scotia's most-ever infections diagnosed in one day, 227 new cases, more than triple the 71 recoveries that day. Two weeks later, May 21, had a record recoveries, 197 in a day, more than double the 84 new cases. To focus on just new cases or recoveries, you can click the legend at the top left of the graph to hide or reveal that data set.

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Average and daily new cases

Knowing the average number of new cases Nova Scotia has every day—the orange area in this graph—is useful to show the trend of infections without one day's ups or downs distorting the picture. Having the daily new cases as well, the dark line on the graph, gives a sense of how each day compares to the average. We use the rolling (AKA moving or running) 7-day average of daily data reported by the province; here's a good explainer of what a rolling average is.

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Vaccination in the population

How many Nova Scotians already have one dose of vaccine? How many are fully vaccinated with two doses? And how close are we to the herd immunity goal of 75 percent of the province fully vaxxed? These questions are answered in our chart of the vaccination rate in Nova Scotia since the province started reporting these numbers in January 2021, breaking out people who've had a single dose separate from those who've had the full complement of two doses. (Here's more information about the 75 percent target and what it will take to get there.) Note: The province doesn't update vaccination numbers on weekends.

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Click here for yesterday's COVID-19 news roundup, for July 4, 2021.

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