No slumping on Sunday
In its minimal Sunday report, Nova Scotia announces 837 new cases of COVID. "There are 541 cases in Central Zone, 133 cases in Eastern Zone, 90 cases in Northern Zone and 73 cases in Western Zone," the report says, every one of these numbers down from yesterday (see below). But don't start celebrating yet.
The only other new data in this "abbreviated" report is the number of tests performed yesterday at local labs to discover those 837 new cases. There were only 4,144 tests completed Saturday, which is the fewest done in a day since Thursday Dec 30 (when there were 3,960 tests), and before that Saturday Dec 11 (3,882), basically a month ago.
Finding 837 cases out of 4,144 tests means that just over 20 percent of tests was positive, or one out of every five swabs had COVID. And that's the highest "percent positivity" Nova Scotia's ever recorded. So much for a slow weekend.
A Saturday spike
The province is delivering "abbreviated" COVID press releases on Saturday and Sunday—barely more information than the number of new cases—so we'll give a single weekend report to for both days. This capsule is Saturday; watch for Sunday to appear above.
Today Nova Scotia is announcing 1,145 new cases of COVID. That's an unwelcome jump back to four-digit infections after numbers steadily dropped this week from 1,020 cases Tuesday to just 678 new infections yesterday.
Nova Scotia's highest-ever one-day case count was 1,184 infections last Sunday, Jan 2. Today's 1,145 is a close second; those cases are spread out as 598 cases in Central zone, 240 cases in Eastern, 180 in Western and 127 Northern.
Comparing active cases in the third and fourth waves
In December, the town of Antigonish became ground zero for an inter-provincial COVID outbreak due to a weekend of superspreader events connected to the annual presentation of X-Rings at St. Francis Xavier University. But how bad is the outbreak, really? The following chart lets you compare Nova Scotia's active cases, dating from the third wave in April through the fourth wave and its infection Xplosion, using case data from provincial pandemic reports. The chart will be updated when provincial reporting allows. Note: From Dec 10 through Dec 22, Nova Scotia was too overwhelmed by new COVID cases to report recoveries or an official active case count; the active case numbers on this graph for those dates have been calculated by adding each day's new cases to the last official active count, and are therefore a maximum active caseload. Starting Dec 23, the province is issuing an "estimated" number of active cases.
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New and active cases visualized
Nova Scotia's third wave of COVID grew in April, 2021, peaked in May (227 new cases in one day was the maximum) and subsided in June. On July 17, the province reached five active cases—its lowest level in more than eight months—and an election was called. So when it came time to reset The Coast's chart comparing daily new cases with that day’s active caseload, in order to better reflect disease levels after the third wave, we started from July 17. Two months later, on September 14, the province formally announced the arrival of the fourth wave of COVID. The dark purple line tracks the rise and fall of daily new infections reported by the province; the green area is the province's caseload. In mid-November, The Coast added a golden line to show the 7-day moving average of daily new cases, effectively a smoothed-out version of the purple line that puts the ups and downs into bigger context. Click or hover over any point on the graph and the detail for that moment will pop up. To focus on just some information, click the legend at the top left of the graph to hide or reveal that data set. Note: As of July 23, 2021, the province stopped updating case numbers on weekends. And you can click here for the version of this graph that includes the third wave and its May 10 crest of 1,655 active cases. Also, from Dec 10 through Dec 22, Nova Scotia was too overwhelmed by new COVID cases to report recoveries or an official active case count; the active case numbers on this graph for those dates have been calculated by adding each day's new cases to the last official active count, and are therefore a maximum active caseload. Starting Dec 23, the province is issuing an "estimated" number of active cases.
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Canadian cases 2021-22
There was a point in July 2021, when the delta variant was causing an increase in COVID infections around the world, that Canada seemed safe from the fourth wave. By August, however, that point had passed, and case numbers around the country started to rise again. This graph charts the number of new infections every day in each province and territory, using the 7-day moving average to mitigate single-day anomalies (including a lack of weekend reporting in several jurisdictions including British Columbia and Nova Scotia). To focus on individual places, click the place names at the top of the chart to turn that data on or off.
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